LKP : Want to Win , Must Have Ical vice presidential caliber Jokowi
November 17, 2013
The nomination of the DPP Golkar Party chairman Aburizal
" Ical " Bakrie continue to reap the negative response of the internal
and pollsters because elektabilitasnya are still low . CEO
Climatology Political Institutions ( CGC ) Usman Rachman said , if Ical
insist to run for presidency , he should look for a vice presidential
candidate as Jakarta Governor Joko " Jokowi " Widodo .sepatu kantor ukuran besar
"The question of who is going constellation combined with Ical , it will be seen from the aggregate value of the candidate that has the least ability to compete as Jokowi , " Usman said in a press conference in Jakarta , Sunday ( 17/11/2013 ) .
Usman said , about the companion figure Ical , Golkar voters need to pay attention to the characteristics of Java and mostly Muslim. In addition , he also had to consider the matter of women voters is now relatively balanced with male voters . Most importantly , call Usman , vice president for Ical largest segments of society must be recognized .
" For example , it could be taken among the leaders of Nahdlatul Ulama ( NU ) as Mahfud MD . 's Just be baseball NU and PKB solid ? If possible , this could strengthen Ical nomination , " said Usman .
CGC monitoring the electability Ical survey once every five months since November 2012. At that time , only 7.1 percent Ical electability . Elektabilitas businessman Bakrie Group was then increased significantly in March 2013 , which amounted to 10.6 percent .
However , the increase did not last long electability due in July 2013 , electability Ical back down to 9.5 percent . The last survey in November 2013 , electability Ical back down to 9.2 percent .
Ical champion
Currently , Ical is a shining figure in internal Golkar . CGC survey shows , Ical is in the top spot with the support of 19.6 per cent . Followed Jusuf Kalla ( 15.2 percent ) , Priyo Budi Santoso ( 13.9 percent ) , and Akbar Tanjung ( 7.9 percent ) . Additionally , Fadel Muhammad received 6.7 percent support , Agung ( 4.2 percent ) , Idrus Marham ( 3.5 percent ) , Sharif Cicip Sutardjo ( 2 percent ) , Theo L Sambuaga ( 1.7 percent ) , Hajriyanto Y Thohari ( 1.5 percent ) , and also looked ( 0.2 percent ) .
However , electability Ical can not match the other figures , such as Jokowi , Prabowo , Wiranto even .
" Ical only win in his own house . He still inferior to Jokowi , Prabowo and Wiranto even , " said Usman .
methodology
The CGC is a national survey conducted on 1 to 10 November 2013 in the 34 provinces in Indonesia . Population ie all voters in the 2014 election or the entire population of Indonesia is at least 17 years old and / or not yet 17 years old but already married .
Sample size of 1,070 respondents obtained through random sampling technique stratified ( multistage randon sampling ) . Margin of error of approximately 3 percent and the confidence level ( level of confidence ) of 95 percent .
Data was collected by using interviews with respondents using a questionnaire . To test the validity of the research team CGC conduct spot check of 10 percent of the total sample . Usman claimed that research conducted LKP this time self- sourced funds .
"The question of who is going constellation combined with Ical , it will be seen from the aggregate value of the candidate that has the least ability to compete as Jokowi , " Usman said in a press conference in Jakarta , Sunday ( 17/11/2013 ) .
Usman said , about the companion figure Ical , Golkar voters need to pay attention to the characteristics of Java and mostly Muslim. In addition , he also had to consider the matter of women voters is now relatively balanced with male voters . Most importantly , call Usman , vice president for Ical largest segments of society must be recognized .
" For example , it could be taken among the leaders of Nahdlatul Ulama ( NU ) as Mahfud MD . 's Just be baseball NU and PKB solid ? If possible , this could strengthen Ical nomination , " said Usman .
CGC monitoring the electability Ical survey once every five months since November 2012. At that time , only 7.1 percent Ical electability . Elektabilitas businessman Bakrie Group was then increased significantly in March 2013 , which amounted to 10.6 percent .
However , the increase did not last long electability due in July 2013 , electability Ical back down to 9.5 percent . The last survey in November 2013 , electability Ical back down to 9.2 percent .
Ical champion
Currently , Ical is a shining figure in internal Golkar . CGC survey shows , Ical is in the top spot with the support of 19.6 per cent . Followed Jusuf Kalla ( 15.2 percent ) , Priyo Budi Santoso ( 13.9 percent ) , and Akbar Tanjung ( 7.9 percent ) . Additionally , Fadel Muhammad received 6.7 percent support , Agung ( 4.2 percent ) , Idrus Marham ( 3.5 percent ) , Sharif Cicip Sutardjo ( 2 percent ) , Theo L Sambuaga ( 1.7 percent ) , Hajriyanto Y Thohari ( 1.5 percent ) , and also looked ( 0.2 percent ) .
However , electability Ical can not match the other figures , such as Jokowi , Prabowo , Wiranto even .
" Ical only win in his own house . He still inferior to Jokowi , Prabowo and Wiranto even , " said Usman .
methodology
The CGC is a national survey conducted on 1 to 10 November 2013 in the 34 provinces in Indonesia . Population ie all voters in the 2014 election or the entire population of Indonesia is at least 17 years old and / or not yet 17 years old but already married .
Sample size of 1,070 respondents obtained through random sampling technique stratified ( multistage randon sampling ) . Margin of error of approximately 3 percent and the confidence level ( level of confidence ) of 95 percent .
Data was collected by using interviews with respondents using a questionnaire . To test the validity of the research team CGC conduct spot check of 10 percent of the total sample . Usman claimed that research conducted LKP this time self- sourced funds .
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